Tuesday, June 21, 2011

Sometimes Bankruptcy is the Answer

Since the year 2000, Millions of Americans like me have had a hard time with employment. Most people under employed or unemployed can’t pay their bills including their mortgage. Justin Harelik wrote an article in Bankrate.com about this subject. If you are seeing a hard time with bill paying or if you know of someone seeing a hard time with their finances, read this article.



Bankruptcy not the worst thing for credit
By
Justin Harelik
Bankrate.com


Dear Bankruptcy Adviser,



I have some questions regarding credit reports and credit scores. Specifically, I am wondering how different types of information on a credit report are interpreted. For example, is a bankruptcy worse for my credit score than late or missed payments on a house? Would slow or missed payments on a car or credit card be viewed the same way as missed house payments?


-- Sue


Dear Sue,


I can't pretend I am a credit score expert. But in my years as an attorney handling bankruptcy law, I have read quite a bit of about credit reports and the impact of different negative events on your credit score, so I feel I can answer your questions. Knowing which paths have the least negative consequences could help you in your effort to obtain credit in the future.


Bankruptcy will have a big impact on your credit. Through research and client statements, the credit hit is approximately 150 to 200 points. Usually, it is one big drop and the damage is done. You can start to rebuild your credit score after concluding your case.


However, you also need to make sure all the accounts on your credit report reflect the fact that the debts are "discharged in bankruptcy." You don't want to take the hit to your credit score and then compound that with missed payments showing up on your report after your filing. All accounts that are included in the bankruptcy must show that no more late payments are being applied.


As a client said to me after filing bankruptcy, "The good news is that my score can only go up from here." While I am not trying to say that bankruptcy is the better option, it is a fact that after filing you will be able to start rebuilding.


Now let's examine your questions regarding late or missed payments. Any late and missed payments -- absent a bankruptcy filing -- hurt your credit three ways. First, you will continue to show late payments every month. Also, some of those creditors will charge off the account, which means write off the balance as uncollectible. Any charged-off accounts would likely be sold to collection agencies. Those collection agencies will post another negative line on your credit report. They will report late payments as well.


Second, you are likely to be sued by one or more of your creditors. That means you will have the monthly negative mark on your credit report. Plus, a lawsuit and judgment will show up in the "public records" of your credit report. These will have additional negative impact on your credit score.


Third, a delay and/or missed payments strategy will make it more difficult to rebuild your credit. With a bankruptcy, you can start rebuilding, although admittedly some of the initial credit offers may not have very attractive terms. But if you work at it, eventually you will be able to demand better rates and better terms.


Without the bankruptcy, late and missed payments will mark you a credit risk. Very few lenders will extend you credit. And those that do will offer even worse terms than if you filed bankruptcy.


I am not advocating one approach over the other. Both result in negative consequences. However, you want to consider life after negative credit and determine which approach will allow you to rebuild your credit faster.


Get more news, money-saving tips and expert advice by signing up for a free Bankrate newsletter.

Tuesday, June 14, 2011

Driving off the Financial Cliff






Claes Bell of Bankrate.com wrote a financial article called, “8 signs you’re flirting with financial ruin.” Are you heading for a financial fall?



According to Claes Bell of Bankrate.com, “The line between a future of financial solvency and one of distress is thinner than you might think.”



“Unfortunately, many people don't realize they're on the wrong side of that divide until it's too late,” says Jessica Cecere, South Florida regional president for CredAbility, a nonprofit credit counseling agency.



"I call it ostrich syndrome. You know that things aren't good, but you just don't want to face up to it right now," she says.



“But the earlier you realize you're having issues with debt, the better chance you have of fixing them,” Cecere says.



Bankrate.com offers eight signs that you may be speeding toward financial ruin. “If four or more of these signs sound familiar, it's time to seek help,” Cecere says.



Cecere recommends looking for a free, nonprofit credit counseling service. You can search for a free or low-cost counseling provider in your area by visiting the National Foundation for Credit Counseling website or by calling (800) 338-2227.



Another alternative is contacting a fee-only financial planner. The National Association of Personal Financial Advisors maintains a database of fee-only planners on its website.
Here are Cecere’s eight (8) signs that you may be on the road to financial failure.

1) Paying late fees and juggling bills?

Frank Boucher, principal of Boucher Financial Planning Services in Reston, Va., says habitually running up late fees typically has one of two causes.



"If you're paying late because you can't pay on time, that's a clear indicator (of future financial trouble)," Boucher says. "If you're paying late fees because you're just lazy about it, you're throwing money away."



A more serious symptom of financial distress is juggling monthly bills by making payments big enough and frequently enough to keep services flowing, but never paying balances on time and in full, Cecere says. Your debt worsens every month as balances grow.



"You're thinking ahead of time, 'I don't really have enough money to pay my bills,' and you're sort of living paycheck to paycheck," Cecere says.

2) Counting on a future windfall

Basing your plans for financial stability on a future payoff, such as an inheritance, a run-up in the value of your home or a big tax refund can put your finances in dire straits.



It's also a symptom of a bigger problem -- rationalizing when it comes to your debt, Boucher says.



"You're planning on a bonus that doesn't materialize, or what we saw happening not too long ago, with people saying, 'I can always suck more equity out of my property,'" he says. "If you think like that, you're really setting yourself up for a fall." In the last 10 years, many people put themselves in the street and became professional homeless people by adopting this home policy!

3) Multiple credit card hocus-pocus

Credit cards are best used as a convenient way to make purchases without having to carry cash and to earn rewards, Cecere says.



If you're a savvy consumer and you can use credit cards while getting points for them, then you are managing your credit well. If you're charging groceries and gas, but you're paying for them at the end of the month, then you are ahead of the game, according to Cecere.



On the other hand, if your credit card debt is consistently rising and you're unable to make more than the minimum payments, your balance will continue to rise. If you fail to make the minimum payment for more than 60 days, your rate could jump, making your financial condition even worse. This will put you on that long road to financial disaster.



While cardholders can stave off trouble temporarily by making the minimum payments or shifting balances to new cards, any kind of sudden change in your finances, such as a rise in gas prices, can destabilize your finances, Cecere says.

4) Fighting with your partner over finances

Most couples have occasional fights about debt, but if you regularly fight with your spouse about money, it can be a sign there's not enough disposable income to finance the family's spending, Boucher says.



Likewise, Cecere says if you're regularly suffering from stress over heavy debts, it could be an indication that your financial situation is unsustainable.



"It's on your mind, but you don't want to talk about it. You can't sleep at night because you're worried about your bills!" If that description sounds familiar, Cecere says it might be time to seek a free, nonprofit credit counseling service.

5) Regularly paying overdraft fees

If you're constantly incurring fees for overdrawing your checking account, you could be on the brink of financial disaster, says Wayne Blanchard, senior partner at Money Professionals Group in Orlando, Fla.



Wayne compares nonsufficient fund fees, or NSF fees, to the nautical flags raised to warn of dangerous wind conditions that you see at the beach.



"If you're getting a lot of NSF notices, that's a hurricane warning flag. It's here," Blanchard says. "That's not a warning, that's a real problem here now."



Regular overdraft fees can occur for a couple of reasons, says Blanchard. Many serial over drafters are struggling financially and don't have income available to cover their debts, meaning they're likely on the verge of having to declare bankruptcy.

6) You have a savings rate of zero

If you're unable to set aside a small amount of money for savings in your budget, your finances are on unstable footing, says Boucher.



"Savings is an expense, and it's something that should be budgeted for just like any other expense," Boucher says. "What's going to happen is something is going to come along -- an unexpected car repair or a home repair or an interruption in income -- and you're going to be in a very bad place."



What if you are paying rent and they raise your rent 15% while your utilities increase another 30%? This has happened to people in Pennsylvania just recently.



He says that while saving may be difficult, not saving puts you at risk of financial hardship. "With no savings, you're really standing on the edge of a cliff," Boucher says.



Blanchard agrees. He says many people rely on credit for their emergency backstop, but credit isn't effective as an emergency savings fund. If banks see you regularly adding abnormally high charges, they'll clamp down on your limit.



In order to be financially healthy, you need to set aside money for unexpected emergencies and for your future retirement, Blanchard says. While an emergency may never come, retirement certainly will, and you'll need to be financially ready.

7) Covering expenses with retirement savings

Borrowing or withdrawing retirement funds from your 401(k) is a common thread in many of the cases of financial distress that Boucher has seen as a financial adviser.



Boucher says, "401(k) loans are usually a bad idea under any circumstances, but when you have more than one, that's a sign that you're not managing your cash flow very well."



Regularly pillaging your retirement savings isn't just a warning sign you're living outside your means, it could have serious consequences for your retirement. It lessens the beneficial effects of compounding that help retirement funds grow.

8) Treating your home like a piggy bank

Using your home equity as a financial crutch is something Boucher often sees with clients heading toward financial distress.



Boucher says such moves are especially ominous if they're not due to a serious financial need but to a desire for "wants" like a vacation or a new car.



"You're paying for a vacation with a home equity loan and you're amortizing that over 15 or 20 years. That just doesn't make any sense," Boucher says.










In Conclusion



Most people have their “head in the sand” when it comes to managing their finances. Their mismanagement starts when they are young. They are encouraged to mismanage by society and their peers and sometimes relatives. When someone tells them about their mismanagement, they call it “creative financing.” People who do manage their finances are usually called names like “tight pockets” and “money pinchers.”



The mismanagers usually start to see serious problems while in their late twenties and thirties. Employers and landlords today look at credit reports before committing to renting or employment. In the long run mismanagers drive themselves right off the financial cliff.



Wednesday, June 8, 2011

The Professional Market Scammers!

I buy very little stock. In the 1970s when I first got in the market, I could not understand how to figure out for sure how people were able to put a value on stocks. Then I found out that we have technical traders and fundamentalist. Later I learned about E-Traders who buy and sell stocks faster than I can in-hail and ex-hail. That is when I found out that stocks really have no value. It is just the value that people and computers put on them. It is these traders that create the liquidity in the stock market. With out Liquidity, people could not get in and out of stocks on a daily bases.


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=WstJM_aNSj8

Steve Kroft gets a rare look inside the secretive world "high-frequency trading," a controversial technique the SEC is scrutinizing in which computers can make thousands of stock trades in less than a second. This may have an affect on the value of your investments when you get ready to use your money for retirement. How would you like your portfolio to fall by 50% in a few weeks just before you retire?

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=thq9Bqw_iuY&feature=fvwrel
Inside Look - High Frequency Trading - Bloomberg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KQV4zZ-E3O0&NR=1&feature=fvwp
Inside Look - Evolution of High-Frequency Trading - Bloomberg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=HxVeopN1bBU&feature=relmfu
In-Depth Look - High-Speed Trading Unfair? - Bloomberg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4vxdA1sqfWc&NR=1
Schumer Seeks To Ban Flash Orders - Bloomberg
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=F77nhdeHOUA&NR=1
High Frequency Trading Under The Microscope - Bloomberg

Now Look at Gambling with Futures
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MHMr4VxyLFE
You want to learn how to gamble, the way the professionals do it? Look at this blog above. Yes you can go to online classes and learn how to do what the professionals do but you will not have the computer speed that the professionals have. Below is the sales pitch that these people give you.

“Precognitive Trading - Mind Over Matter New Futures Trading students make money because they have learned the market's systematic movements! The KEY to a profitable stock market trading is the clear understanding of the Market's Predictable Systematic Movements! NFT will teach you to understand the Market's Systematic Movements. You will learn to enter a trade with precision and hold that trade to its final target! You will learn to see a trading position coming minutes before you take action, and know the possible target even before you take that position! You will learn to trade using only a 5 tick stop loss!”





Conclusion!



Here is the reason why I stay away from the stock market unless I know that it is the bottom of the market and I have a very good idea what stocks are going to go up in the next year. The only other time I invest in stock is when the company is giving a good dividend yield in relation to interest rates and inflation.

Friday, May 27, 2011

The Corporate Bond Wars: Diversification


Larry Denham believes that when it comes to Diversification, Bond Funds win hands down.

Bond Funds: Because the underlying portfolio of most bond funds includes many different types of bonds of various maturities, investing in a bond fund conveniently provides the investor with immediate and widespread diversification. With numerous different bonds represented in the fund, the investor’s exposure to the default /credit risk of any one issuer is minimized.

Individual Bonds: In Larry’s opinion, in order to achieve adequate diversification with the purchase of individual bonds, investors need about $100,000 or more invested in bonds of approximately 15 different issuers. The impact of a default will be greater within a portfolio of individual bonds than with a bond fund, because of the numerous and diverse holdings within a bond fund. When buying individual bonds, default /credit risk in most cases is addressed by limiting investment to essential purpose, high quality investment grade (preferably “A” or better) bonds.

In my opinion, I prefer the “B” or better rated bonds and sacrifice some safety in diversity. I believe that the expectable losses in issues going into bankruptcy over time will still give better returns than bond funds.

An Introduction: The Corporate Bond Wars

Larry Denham, senior vice president and business development officer for Zions Bank wrote a good article called, “Bond Funds vs. Individual Bonds.”, published May 25, 2011. In that article, he made the argument that buying individual bonds is better than buying bond funds. Larry said, “That being said, with the availability of online investing, and after evaluating their circumstances and investment objectives, investors are learning how easy it is to take advantage of some of the benefits of buying individual bonds. Hence, without much publicity, it appears to this author that the argument has quietly shifted in favor of investing in individual bonds.”

It has been my experience from 1980 until now that the brokerage firms have been directing investors toward bond funds. Anyone insisted in investing their money in individual bonds was shown bonds with no or low yields or CCC rated junk bonds. In my case, my broker would not show me any bonds higher than CCC saying that they were not available or that he was not allowed to show them to me. If I was not a bond investor in the 1970s, I may have fallen for that line. Fortunately, around 2004, online brokerage firms with massive bond inventories became available to individual small investors. It was not long after that when I stop walking into full brokerage firm door. I probably will never walk in again.

In order to understand why individual bonds is better than bond funds, it is important to first understand both sides of the bond funds versus individual bonds argument. Most financial authors writing on the subject have focused on the following investment traits: (1) Diversification ; (2) Reinvestment of income; (3) Investment Control; (4) Cost; (5) Interest rate risk; (6) Liquidity; (7) Portfolio size.

In the next future blogs we will explorer these individual traits.

Tuesday, May 17, 2011

Easy Money for Young IRA Investors

If I had 21 years to go to retirement, I would invest in Pulte Group, Inc. 7.875% of 06/15/2032 bonds. It is a Moody’s B1 and a Standard and Poor’s BB- rated bond. As of May 12, 2011, the bond sold for $937.50 with a Yield to Maturity of 8.517%.

This means if you bought the bond on June 15, 2011 and held it to maturity, you would get $78.75 per year for 21 years or $1,653.75. Plus the investor gets $62.50 in appreciation. For an investment of $937.50 over 21 years, you get $1,716.25 or a total of 183.07%. Since this is in your IRA, your taxes are deferred until retirement. So you can reinvest all the money into other bonds giving high yields. All the company has to do is stay out of bankruptcy and the investor gets their money.

PulteGroup, Inc. (NYSE: PHM) based in Bloomfield Hills, Mich., is America's premier home building company with operations in 60 markets and 28 states. According to Pulte Group Inc., the Company has an unmatched capacity to meet the needs of all buyer segments through its brand portfolio that includes Pulte Homes, Centex Homes and Del Webb. If you are an investor and need additional assistance, please use the internet; contact your broker or Pulte Group’s Investor Relations / Media Relations team.

http://phx.corporate-ir.net/phoenix.zhtml?c=147717&p=irol-contact
You can look up the Public Relations contacts by using the above link.

Tuesday, May 3, 2011

Investing in the Venezuela Republic


In my IRA, I hold a large position in Venezuelan Republic bonds. Venezuela is an OPEC oil producing country in Northern South America. It is run by a dictator that United States does not like. So the nation’s bonds are given speculative grade (High Yield or “Junk”) by Moody’s and “Standard and Poor’s (S&P).” I buy these bonds that have earlier maturity dates because I am an old man. I want to live to use the money. But for people in their 30s or early 40s, they should look at this bond for IRA purchases.



Venezuela Republic 9.375% of January 13, 2034





It is rated by Moody’s at B2 and S&P at BB-. Ratings have increased in the past 10 years. It pays twice a year, January 13 and July 13 until January 13, 2034. As of this writing, the bond is not on “Credit Watch.” The recent price of the bond is $702.50, yielding 13.642%.







http://deutscheboerse.sh02.de/EN/index.aspx?pageID=108&ISIN=US922646BL74
Look at the bond on the Börse Frankfurt Exchange

That means that if the bond was purchased on July 13, 2011 and kept to maturity, this is what you, the investor would get. On January 13, 2034, you get $1,000 ($1,000 minus $702.50) is an appreciation profit of $297.50. Over the next 22.5 years, you would get $93.75 per year or $2,109.38. In total, the investor makes $2,811.88 per $702.50 bond investment. The investor makes 4 times their money in 22.5 years.

http://data.cbonds.info/emissions/1645/Prospectus_Venezuela_2034.pdf

Prospectus Supplement to Prospectus Dated January 7, 2004