Wednesday, April 25, 2012

Buying a Nine Year B3 Bond, Doubling Your Money

MIRANT AMERICAS GENERATION LLC 8.5% of 10/01/2021 yields 10.176% selling for $899.49. The bond has a Standard & Poor’s rating is BB- and a Moody’s rating of B3. The cusp. Number is 60467PAQ7. If this bond was purchase for $899.49 on October 1, 2012, the investor would get $1,016.35 at maturity. That would be $915.84 in interest and $100.51 in bond appreciation. You the investor would get more in interest if you buy the bond between now and October 1, 2012. This company is based in Atlanta, Ga.

To my knowledge this company is owned by GenOn Energy, Inc. (NYSE: GEN). It is one of the largest competitive generators of wholesale electricity in the United States. This company has power generation facilities located in key regions of the country and a generation portfolio of approximately 23,700 megawatts. GenOn is helping meet the nation’s electricity needs.

GenOn’s portfolio of power generation facilities includes baseload, intermediate, and peaking units using coal, natural gas, and oil to generate electricity. The company is headquartered in Houston, TX. But the company is operating in 12 states. It has approximately 3,400 enployees.






By burning a variety of fuels, GenOn is able to optimize generation to match market demand with the most appropriate, lowest cost fuel options.

However, the stock price of this company is in the tank, selling around $2.10 as of March 29, 2012..

Friday, April 6, 2012

My Greedy Friend’s Portfolio Value Projection


Example 1A -- Click on report to view
Example 1B -- Click on this report to view

The Secret to Income Investing

We are going to discuss the secret to income investing. In my blog “My Greedy Friend’s First Quarter 2012” dated Thursday, March 29, 2012, we talked about what I do when I invest in junk bonds. As you know an investor knows how much they are investing, they know how much they expect to get in return, and they know when to expect it. Speculators and gamblers don’t know these things. That is why every person who buys stocks and bonds are not investors.

I am going to pass on to you what the old steel workers in Pittsburgh, Pa. told me 40 years ago. This information still works today.

I am not the brightest crayon in the box. My friends and relatives can tell you that. So I can’t do that complicated so call investing that you see on the cable TV channels. Most of them tell you stuff then you try it and lose your shirt over it. All I know how to do is make money.

Look at (Example 1A and 1B). This is a snap shot of my Greedy Friend’s portfolio. They use an online broker called “Zions Direct” headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah. I use another online broker but this one is also a good one to use. If you open an account, use my name and you will get a good deal when opening an account.

Look at the screens in this example. I invest for income and only income. I leave safety to the rating agencies, such as Standard & Poor’s or Moody’s. I try to buy corporate bonds that are as near “BBB” as I can get giving me the highest interest that I can get.

Example 2 -- Click on the report to view

Look at (Example 2). Your bond interest is automatically calculated for you by bond and by month where the interest and dividends are given. My Greedy friends could expect $10,384.22 in dividends and interest in the coming 12 months. My Greedy Friend’s bonds give interest mostly on a semi-annual bases. To make a projection of their Net Worth for 12 months into the future, add this figure from Example 2 to the Account Net Worth in Example 3.


Example 3 -- Click on the report to view

Look at (Example 3); my Greedy Friends have a screen that gives them to the minutes, how much cash they have available to purchase more securities. When there bonds and stock give enough interest to buy a bond(s), I buy more bond(s).

In my friend’s IRA, they make an annual contribution and buy more bonds. The more bonds they buy, the more interest flows into the portfolio (see example 2 and 3), the more bonds they buy (entered in their portfolio, see example 1A and B). This works very much like compound interest in a savings account.

The risk here!

Bonds as well as any business securities come with risk. With bonds you have the risk of default, they may not pay you. Business Risk, they may file for bankruptcy and go out of business or they may reorganize and give you little or no money. You may be faced with inflation risk where the inflation rate is higher than the amount of interest that you are making with your securities.

Tax Advantages of this plan!

An IRA allows my friends to accumulate interest and appreciation of the bonds tax deferred. Plus they get a tax deduction for their yearly IRA contribution. Once they reach 59 ½ they can withdraw funds from their IRA without a 10% Federal Income Tax Penalty. When you retire and you are in a very low income tax bracket, you will pay taxes at the lower income tax bracket.

This is the secret to what you see in my greedy friend’s portfolio. Its value rises in their bond portfolio over time. Why don’t brokers tell you about what I am doing? They don’t because they can’t make money off of you. They can if you buy and sell all the time. Since my Greedy Friends rarely sell, brokers make very little money. So why would they bother with my Greedy Friends? As I always said, a broker makes you broker. I can become broke by myself!


Thursday, March 29, 2012

My Greedy Friend’s First Quarter 2012


The above portfolio did very well from January 2009 to January 2010. Then the bankruptcies kicked in from January 2010 to December 2011. The increase value of the portfolio slowed. From January 2012 to April 2012 -- the portfolio value increase accelerated. The projections from May 2012 to April 2013 -- the portfolio value will increase with greater accelerating speed.


It is the end of the first quarter of 2012. That means it is time to talk about my greedy friends. No, I did not say my needy friends. They are truly greedy. To give you a little history about their investments, my friends had a 401K with their employer from 2001 to 2009. In December 2008 they lost their job. In that time, their mutual funds in their 401K lost 5% overall. They came to me for help because they thought that they can do better and they knew that I have done better with my IRA.

They wanted to transfer their 401k money to their new employer getting back into the same type of funds. I told them no, get into junk bonds. They told me that junk bonds have a bad reputation and they did not want to lose any more money. Besides everything that they read in the media told them that it was a bad idea. I showed them what I was doing with junk bonds. I asked them what they see me doing compared to what they heard about such investments, does it make any sense? So they decided to turn their investments over to me in January 2009.

Things went fine with their junk bond investments until three companies filed for bankruptcy in 2010 and 2011 causing their investments to stop rising as fast. Now I did not say my friends took a loss. I said that my friend’s portfolio did not rise as fast. They had a fit and called me all kinds of names. But given the choice of taking back control of their portfolio or letting me continue, the question never came up. Here is the reason why I call them my greedy friends. Their portfolio does not suggest that they are needy at all.

So far in 2012, they are making big gains. I gave a projection of what I expect their portfolio to do in the next 10 months to the end of January 2013. I expect bigger gains.
However, this will only happen if they have no large bankruptcies, no large bond tender offers by the companies in their portfolio, or they do not decide to withdraw money from their IRA. Keep in mind that their bond portfolio is riding on Oil Company bonds so if oil prices fall, their bond prices will fall about 10% until maturity. Bankruptcies and deflation are the only dangers to any bond portfolio. Hyperinflation will hurt the price of long term bonds and may give you, the investor an opportunity loss. In other words, it they were in the right investments you would make more money. If you take that position then you are like my greedy friends.

The Secret to Income Investing

I am not the brightest crayon in the box. My friends and relatives can tell you that. So I can’t do that complicated so call investing that you see on the cable TV channels. All I know how to do is make money. I invest for income and only income. I leave safety to the rating agencies, such as Standard & Poor’s or Moody’s. I try to buy corporate bonds that are as near “BBB” as I can get giving me the highest interest that I can get. My bonds give interest mostly on a semi-annual bases. When they give enough interest to buy a bond(s) I buy more bond(s). In my IRA, I make my annual contribution and buy more bonds. The more bonds I buy, the more interest flows into the portfolio, the more bonds I buy. This works very much like compound interest in a savings account.

An IRA allows me to accumulate interest and appreciation of the bonds tax deferred. Plus I get a tax deduction for my yearly IRA contribution. This is the secret to what you see in my greedy friend’s bond portfolio chart.

Wednesday, March 28, 2012

Planning For Financial Disaster





It did not matter who you were, towns did not want you moving in when they had no work for themselves in the Great Depression.

I was born 11 years after the end of the Great Depression ended. I was lucky to be born 6 years after the end of World War II. I grew up in the biggest economic boom that this country ever had. But all my youth the old people told me that the Great Depression is coming back and to prepare for it. As the old people died off, the younger people started dismantling the laws that stopped the problems of the great depression from starting up again. These laws such as “Glass Stiegel” mainly dealt with regulations of Banking, Brokerage, and Real Estate. They allowed all three of these industries to merge just like in the 1920s and it caused a 1930’s style Depression in the early Twenty-First Century. I spent the first 50 years preparing for the Great Depression that finally came. I was out of work for 2 years and did not make good money again for 5 years. I did not have a job that I wanted or a job that was stable for 8 years. I am still not to the salary that I had in 1998.


For most people this would cause a lot of stress in many people’s lives but not as much as the people who could not pay their bills or no longer had a roof over their head.


Segregation in the Great Depression

According to the American Psychological Association, as aftershocks of the Great Recession (first Great Depression of the 21st Century) continue to be felt, money is the most often named source of stress for Americans. In fact, in 2010, more than 75% of Americans named money as a significant cause of stress. At the same time, an American Psychological Association survey in August 2010 found that 73 percent of parents report family responsibilities as a significant source of stress. Combine stress from money worries with stress from family concerns and you have a serious situation. Not only can this kind of prolonged stress be emotionally draining and harmful to your family relationships, it can literally make you sick.

They say that one way to manage the stress is by taking steps to save money. When unexpected money problems arise, some simple cost-cutting measures can free up money for the essentials. Shifts in your standard of living can be uncomfortable; however, it’s important to view each of your expenses objectively and be realistic about what you can afford. What you need to remember is to keep a level head, act immediately and plan your finances accordingly. Hesitating or putting your budget planning aside could make things worse. You owe it to yourself and your family to remain confident and in control.



Unemployed and homeless Blacks in the Great Depression



Let’s look at the big cuts.


Home Mortgage — If you feel your ability to keep your home is at risk, immediately contact your mortgage holder or a certified HUD counselor to discuss your financial situation. You may qualify for a deferral, a loan modification, or alternative payment plans.

The Car — Can your family become a one-car family? Letting go of one of your vehicles could create significant cost savings (payments, gas, insurance, maintenance, etc.).

Recreation — You can still enjoy life without all the perks. Luxuries like dining out and weekend getaways can be replaced by home cooking, backyard parties, and exploring local parks, museums, and attractions.

You can also do little things that add up to big things.


Cash Only — Fair warning; it will be difficult, but try to pay for everything in cash or with a debit card. Using your credit cards unwisely during financial difficulties only digs you deeper in the hole.

Credit Surfing — Evaluate all of your credit card balances and interest rates. Find the cards with the lowest rates and transfer your balances. Weigh the cost of the transfer fee – will it be greater than the interest you save? – And be aware of the impact on your credit score of closing accounts vs. keeping them open. Finally, focus on not running your credit card balances back up.


Negotiating Lower Rates — I negotiate my credit card interest rates. Contact each of your credit card companies and ask if your interest rate can be lowered based on past payment history. If not, ask if there are alternative payment plans available based on financial hardship.

One thing that’s certain is that household costs are on the rise. Just take a look at what you’re spending on food and gasoline today compared to two years ago.

Adjust Your Minutes
— The first thing I looked at was my phone bills. Evaluate your mobile phone plan as well as your land line bill in detail. Call your provider to ask if there is a less expensive plan. I went from a national brand cell phone service to a phone plan from Wal-mart and saved $75.00 per month without loosing any services that I needed. Also, consider if you can live without either your cell phone or your land line.

Cut the Cable — Reduce your monthly cable/satellite bill by eliminating premium cable. By leaving my cable provider and going with a package deal (Cable, phone, and Internet) from another, I saved about $25 per month.

Clip Coupons — Using coupons at the supermarket is a smart and easy way to save money. Just be sure that the final price (using the coupon) is less than the generic or store-brand alternatives. I buy generic brands first before I look at name brand items.

Buy in Bulk — Consider shifting your focus to the future when purchasing household items. Lower-priced, higher volume choices make sense for products that you need now and will need in the future such as toilet paper, paper towels, cleaning supplies, computer paper, and etc. If you are buying for a big family then the same goes for select food items, especially those that keep well or can be frozen. If you can buy items in a co-op with other family members or friends with an agreement to purchase giving a percentage of goods to an individual or family, you will be able to get considerable savings.

Thrift Shopping — Consider a trip to your local thrift store before you head off to the mall. Many second-hand clothing and household items are in good condition and cost substantially less than those in typical retail stores.

Save Gas, Drive Less — Keep in mind that every time you drive your car, it costs you money. If buying a new car, look at gas mileage first. Don't buy a car that you think will make you popular just to find out that it takes $60 every three days in gas to run. Consider car pools, ride shares, etc. Walk or bike to local destinations. It will save in fuel costs and save the environment too!

Newspapers and Magazines – Why purchase newspapers and magazines when you can read the same thing off the Internet? Use the Internet as much as you can for news and information in relation to buying extra media. Use the media to find shopping coupons for the store that you use. Go to the store website and see if they offer what you are looking for in coupons.




Stock market peaked in July 1929 then crashed to its low in July 1932.

It did not recover until 1954.

The American Psychological Association says; during tough times make sure to take care of your emotional and physical health, as well as your fiscal health. Recognize that not dealing with stress effectively could lead to unhealthy activities such as smoking, drinking, gambling or eating disorders. Your unhealthy activities may lead you to spend time in jail or in a hospital. It may kill you. Be aware of this and seek help if you think you’re seeing the signs of a problem.


Coping with financial hardship isn’t always easy. That is why you must prepare for the bad time before they come. They do not ring a bell on Wall Street when bad times hit. You don't see it in your local newspaper or on National TV. You usually feel the stress months or years before they start talking about it in the media.

Wednesday, March 14, 2012

Bond Investment in GTE North Inc.



Since the pickings in the short term and intermediate corporate bond market is pretty slim, we have to go out to the late 2020s. Let’s look at a company that I do not own, GTE North Inc. They have a bond that is S&P BB with a Cusip. Number 362337AK3. It pays twice a year.

GTE North Inc. 6.73% of 02-15-2028

It has an YTM of 9.089% and matures on Feb. 15, 2028. That means that if you bought the bond on April 15, 2012 at $803.50, you would get $196.50 in bond appreciation and $1,009.50 over 16 years. That means on an $803.50 you could make $2,019.59 by February 15, 2028. If you are 50 or younger, this would be a good investment in your IRA.

Who is GTE North Inc.?


Frontier North, Inc. is a local telephone operating company owned by Frontier Communications.



History


Frontier North was originally founded as Contel North, Inc., incorporated in Wisconsin in 1992.


GTE acquisition of Contel


Contel was acquired by GTE in 1993. Following its acquisition by GTE, Contel North was renamed GTE North, Inc.


In 1993, Iowa, Missouri, Minnesota, and Nebraska were split off from GTE North into a new company called GTE Midwest, Inc. ConTel of Illinois, ConTel of Indiana, ConTel of Pennsylvania, and ConTel Quaker State were all merged into GTE North.


Acquisition by Verizon


In 2000, parent company GTE was purchased by Bell Atlantic, becoming Verizon Communications. At this point the company's name was legally changed to Verizon North, Inc.


Sale to Frontier


In 2009, Verizon Communications created a company, New Communications ILEC Holdings, to be sold to Frontier Communications. Verizon North was included with the new company. Frontier purchased the company in 2010. Verizon North's operations in Pennsylvania were spun off into a separate company called Verizon North Retain since those operations were not included in the sale to Frontier. That company was merged into a new company named Verizon North in 2010. The sale became final July 1, 2010, and the company's name was changed to Frontier North, Inc.


Source


The description above came from the Wikipedia article GTE North.

Saturday, February 25, 2012

For People Who Want Out of a Low Income Situation


My father and mother came out of the Great Depression of the 1930s. When I was born in the 1950s, the social family climate was different than it is now. The mother stayed home with the children and did the house work. The father went to work and made a living for the rest of us. The complaint about jobs was different than it is now. Today, people complain about having no jobs. In the 1950s and 1960s people complained about not having high paying jobs. In my situation from age 8 to 21 years old, because of a stable family life, it was easy for me to plan my life out from child hood to old age. Today, it is not as easy but it still can be done. All it takes is time, drive on your part, and determination.



Aside from government assistance, you can work your way towards financial freedom by taking little steps. These steps are taken over your life time. As long as you are disciplined and determined, you can well be on your way to the end of financial difficulty. You may have to start with government aid for you and your family. Your approval for your chosen government aid should be the time when you take steps so that you handle financial difficulties better.


Below are 5 steps you can take to have a healthier financial disposition:



1. Educate Yourself. Gather as much information as you can about financial management. You can make your money grow, as long as you know how you can achieve it. Immerse yourself in books, the internet, and talk to people who know about managing finances. This is how I started in life. I learned from people who understood how to develop good financial behavior and attitudes for my interest, not the interest of others such as banks, brokerage firms, or insurance companies.



2. Be Organized. This will take discipline, but you have to be more meticulous about your money. Start by monitoring your current expenses. From there, you can see which among your expenses are taking up your income. Allot a certain amount for each and every need, and make financial goals with whatever amount you can save. Try not to use debt like credit cards. Pay off your credit cards at the end of every month. Organization like this will allow you to start saving enough to get you out of your situation.



3. Be Focused. Managing finances can be difficult. Don’t worry about the people who call you names because you refuse to spend money on nonsense such as movies, parties, and social fads. You can encounter distractions, such as sales and other bargains, but you have to be focused on your goal. Just keep in mind that once you become more financially stable, you can then reward yourself with things you want to buy and vacations you want to take.




4. Be Prepared. It is recommended that you save at least three months worth of your expenses. Work and do your best to pool this amount, so that if anything happens, you will not be crippled financially. This may take some time to do. When the First Great Depression of the 21st Century hit, I did not work for 2 years. When I did work over the next year, my wages were at times just above minimum wage. But because I prepared myself over the past 30 years, I could still send my children to college, buy them their first cars, give my son-in-law a car, and give my oldest daughter and husband their down payment on their first house. Even today, my wages are not as high as it was in the early 1990s. However, I owe no one and I am preparing to retire.





Darnell L Williams (holding money) started his lawn business at 10 years old. He taught himself to read the financial pages of the newspaper including the stock market by age 16. He employed two workers by age 18. He bought his first car by age 20. Darnell owned his first A1 current model car at age 21. He bought his first single family home in an exclusive suburb of Pittsburgh at age 24.


Darnell had his first child at age 33 and started her college education account. He bought his second house in a suburb of Harrisburg, Pa. at age 34. Darnell had his second child and started her college account at age 37. At age 50 the first child graduated from high school and started college. Darnell bought her an A1 current year car. At age 55, the second child graduated from high school and started college with her new car. Both cars were paid for in cash.

At the same time as the high school graduations, Darnell's working career went south along with the economy. I did not work for 2 years. The next year I worked for minimum wage. My pay did not pick up again until I was 56 years old. At age 57, my oldest daughter and family bought their first house and the remainder of the money that I saved for her when she was born made the down payment for that house. Then I started working on my retirement fund. From age 56 to age 61, my retirement account tripled. I will continue to finance my retirement until I am 63 or 64 years old. Now I am doing research to make sure that I have enough funds to last until I am 90 years old if need be.

5. Study Every Situation. As you learn how to manage your money, you will develop a more sensitive approach to handling money. You can then better decide on whether or not it is wise to spend on something. Just make sure that all your financial decisions are well thought of, and you can be on your way to being more independent with handling your money.


Darnell at age 2. In 6 years he will understand and start accumulating wealth for the first time. Here lies why his mother claimed that he was not from this world.

What you should remember at all times;

1. You start your lifetime plan or your children's plan as soon as you can after you are or they are born.

2. You work your lifetime plan or adjust your lifetime plan as needed in your lifetime.

3. Always stay focused on your lifetime plan.