The Board Room on the New York Stock Exchange
Most
of you who work for a living have access to mutual funds in your
company 401K program. My advice has always been and always will be, if
they do not pay you matching funds then use an IRA to finance your
retirement. For people who have 401K programs, I offer some advice for
your long term retirement strategy. Invest for yield, not for growth. In
my opinion, the market that we are in has risk for people who are
dependent on a growth investment portfolio.
Portfolio Size
The
search for yield has led some investors to dividend-oriented mutual
funds. These mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) invest in
dividend paying securities. According to Charles Schwab and Company,
between March 2011 and March 2012, investors placed $25 billion into
dividend paying funds and pulled out more than $136 billion from all
other stock funds. The number of dividend funds has increased
significantly in the past year, from 29 to 46. What happened is, low
interest rates have reduced yield on a variety of traditional income
sources. Another development, investors may be influenced by past
performance. Dividend paying stocks have outperformed non-dividend
paying stocks in the Standard and Poor’s 500 Index – 19.1% versus 16.7%
during all 10 bull markets since 1972 says Ned Davis Research. The third
point, stocks that paid dividends suffered about half the losses
as non-dividend payers in all the bear markets during that same time
period says Ned Davis Research. Here is the reason why I have been in
dividend and interest paying securities since 1972.
Mutual Funds and Diversification
Your
401K and IRA investors who don’t know this information and do not read
my blog on a regular bases, may want to reallocate your equity (stock
and stock mutual funds) holdings to Interest-oriented and
dividend-oriented mutual funds and securities.
Now let’s talk about the risk!
Equity Risk
These
mutual fund investments are not bonds and carry volatility risk of stock
investments. For example, DREYFUS HIGH YIELD STRATEGIES Fund (Symbol:
DHF) had a 52 week high of $ 4.70 and a 52 week low of $ 3.96. At the recent price of $4.24, it yields 9.95%.
Traders shifting from bonds to bond-oriented funds are altering their
asset allocation and could be introducing more risk into their
portfolio. For example, if you, the investor is planning on selling your
recently bought fund shares in the near future and you paid over $4.50,
you will take a loss on the investment. Income Funds are long term
investments and should be used in your portfolio as such.
Tax Implications
Since
2003, dividends generally have been taxed at a 15% rate. Unless the
President and Congress extend the Bush tax cut, the dividend tax rate
for the highest earners may more than double after 2012. It may increase
slightly for lower income earners if the dividend is outside their IRA
or 401K. If inside your IRA or 401K, don't worry about it.
Past Performance
The past
is not a guarantee of future performance. While dividend-paying mutual
funds and bonds typically have outperformed the market over the long
run, those investing now might not reap the same benefits.
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